football nfl picks
football nfl picks
How do I get the picks each week?
The majority of the selections will be added to the Free Picks area on the home page. Info regarding 5* Top Plays along with other selections will be reserved for those who sign up for the email list. The email list is free to join. New visitors please note that emails are NOT sent out daily as they are with other services. All emails sent are solely to inform you of updates or additional plays and your email address is kept confidential. See the bottom of this page for more details.
How do you rate the picks?
The rating are detailed here. Simply put, the games are rated between 3 stars (3*) and 5 stars (5*). Starting in 2007 I have eliminated free 1* picks. The free selections that appear on the home page are 3* Regular Plays. Those are games that I feel have solid advantages. I won't waste my time or yours with anything less. Don't be misled by the term "free picks". The picks you see listed on the home page are solid 3* plays which are the equivalent of an average service play. The only difference is that you're not paying to view them. All picks will be monitored and I fully expect that when the dust settles at the end of the year, these "free plays" will again produce better results than the paid selections of many handicappers.
Why are you giving away so much for free?
I've been releasing selections for years in a variety of ways. I've also dealt with many people through this site that I'd like to see continue to win. The goal is to help with that and continue to provide a high quality football information site. But important commitments currently make it impractical to run this site as a traditional paid service for 26 straight weeks. However, I continue to spend a significant amount of time taking in NFL information and doing the research needed for selections and fantasy football updates. When time permits and I recognize good opportunities I'll share those opinions for casual visitors and those who sign up for the email list. If you appreciate what you're getting out of this site and want to show your support, throughout the year take a couple minutes to check out the advertising you see listed.
How many picks do you expect to make each week?
Each week of the regular season is different but I typically make 2 to 5 full rated NFL picks per week (5*Top Plays and/or 3* & 4* Regulars). Each pick includes at least a brief analysis and sometime more. Most if not all 5* Tops will be released solely through the email to list members. There may be weeks where I don't add any NFL picks or fantasy information at all. This could be due to matchups that don't rate highly enough in my opinion or simply due to other commitments. I'll only release selections when I've had the opportunity to research them to my satisfaction and recommend them with confidence.
When do you post your picks?
Typically the NFL selections will be posted by Sunday mornings or earlier. Monday night games may be posted later than the other plays. NFL Preseason games are the exception because current info, line moves, and roster decisions are more significant. I may have to post closer to gametime once all of the important questions are cleared up. When there are too many question marks, experience has taught me it's better to simply pass. The idea is to focus on games that have significant advantages, not just a small edge.
Fantasy football info will be posted throughout the week when it's available with no set schedule.
How do you decide which games to pick each week?
I look at each side and total using a number of different methods. Essentially, proven statistical analysis and other numbers identify potential picks each week. However, numbers can only take you so far and can sometimes be misleading. There are many things that don't show up in boxscores or hilight shows and there's no substitute for watching the actual games to get a true feel for the teams.
Once that's done I analyze all the subjective factors that will potentially affect the game. That's where experience comes in, knowing which factors are important and how they typically affect the outcomes. Psychological and motivational factors are quite important to the way I view the games. I then look at all the other information such as injuries, weather, recent info, and other special variables that can come into play.
Are your picks monitored?
Absolutely. Check the links listed on the Previous Results page. Past results and links are listed for the info of my visitors. There are many handicappers that don't have their picks monitored by an independent source and often it's because they want to exaggerate their success or hide the fact they aren't very good at what they do. Some are downright awful. View these types of handicappers with extreme caution and keep in mind the industry is full of people that have no real clue about sports handicapping but want to scam you into paying for their services.
Do you offer picks for sports other than NFL football?
I have in the past but at this time I'll only be posting NFL picks and information. However, my college football picks were exceptionally strong in 2006 and the bowl selections were perfect. I may add the occassional selection if I spot a worthwhile opportunity which could include a handful of bowl games.
Making Fantasy Football PicksWhen making fantasy football picks there are many different factors to keep in mind. Just as with the real NFL draft, fantasy football picks depend on research and a little bit of good fortune. Despite all the stats, numbers and expert forecasts, sometimes fantasy football picks work out, and sometimes they don't.
Of course, there's a way to limit the possibility of making mistakes when making fantasy football picks. The first thing to do is research the players. This might sound simple. After all, all you have to do is look up stats from last year, look at the top 5-6 players in each stat category and write those names down on your fantasy football picks cheat sheet. Right? Actually, it's a lot more complicated than that.
That's why, instead of relying on magazines and stats and numbers, it's probably a good idea to get some expert advice in making fantasy football picks, which is where Fantasy Football Starters comes in. We provide expert analysis on players, teams and everything else associated with NFL fantasy football. Our site features fantasy football software that will help take the guesswork out of fantasy football picks. Remember, there's a lot of experienced fantasy football players out there and they don't do it alone, so why should you?
One of the things to look at when making fantasy football picks is system or coaching staff changes. For example, Drew Brees recently left the San Diego Chargers for the New Orleans Saints via free agency. Brees was one of the top quarterbacks in the league last year throwing for 3,576 yards and 24 touchdowns, following up an impressive 2004 campaign in which he also threw for more than 3,000 yards. When making fantasy football picks for quarterbacks, however, you must consider how he will fit in with the Saints. With the Chargers, Breees had LaDainian Tomlinson at running back and a very good offensive line. The Saints feature some talented personnel as well, with receivers Joe Horn, Donte' Stallworth and running back Deuce McAllister. The question is how will Brees mesh with his new teammates? When making fantasy football picks you have to look at the team around Brees, his defense and the teams he will be playing against in his new division, the NFC South. Brees will be throwing against Tampa Bay, Carolina and Atlanta, with the Bucs and Falcons featuring two of the top defenses in the league last year. It's something to think about when making fantasy football picks.
The same thing goes when making fantasy football picks concerning Miami Dolphins quarterback Daunte Culpepper, who signed with the team over the summer after leaving the Minnesota Vikings. Culpepper is coming off a major knee injury and he'll have running backs Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown to hand off to - if Williams can avoid a suspension for violating the league's substance abuse policy for an alleged 4th time. Will a better ground game hold down Culpepper's numbers? Will he fully recover from his knee injury? Those questions are the kinds of things that make fantasy football picks difficult for everyone involved making roster moves.
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