Denver given the current medical condition of the Steelers’ starting quarterback. Everybody else in the NFL commentariat is burying 2-5 Pittsburgh and still lauding the 5-2 Broncos despite what the Colts did to their defense on Sunday. And yet, odds are determined by where the public is putting its money, and right now, given the 3.0-point home field advantage, the public seems to believe that Denver and Pittsburgh are still equal. I know some gamblers read Football Out, but there is no way that this is more than 1% caused by us. Is there anybody else out there who agrees with DVOA about both the Steelers and the Broncos? Or any other explanation for this?
This question out of serious curiosity, not a desire to pump my own ego (or the collective ego of Football Outsiders). If you look at the current Las Vegas odds, Pittsburgh is actually favored to beat Denver on Sunday. The current line is somewhere between -2.0 and -3.0 depending on where you look. This just blows me away. Unless I’m mistaken, we are the only people out there saying that Pittsburgh might be better than Denver
Bettors are more rational than sports pundits.
They don’t care if the games make good story lines or follow development arcs.
I really think the majority of sports punditry is as bad as its political counterpart
- Bettors are more rational than sports pundits.
- I really think the majority of sports punditry is as bad as its political counterpart
- They don’t care if the games make good story lines or follow development arcs.