football betting
football betting
When the NFL preseason kicks off next week, bettors should really start paying attention to the numerous debuts around the league. For many teams their first preseason game will be everyone's first look at a new rookie, a new head coach or a new free-agent addition. Here's a quick rundown of the all Week 1 preseason games and who you should be keeping your eye on ...
Indianapolis at Dallas - New Dallas coach Wade Phillips will be manning the sidelines for the first time in this game, which means you'll want to focus on the Cowboys' defense to get a few hints on what Phillips has planned for this season. The Colts will debut rookie wide out Anthony Gonzalez, most likely in the third receiver spot.
Cincinnati at Detroit - Presuming he ends his holdout, the Calvin Johnson highlight reel should start rolling in this game. The faster Johnson and QB Jon Kitna get acquainted in game situations, the better for Detroit. The Bengals have a decision to make at the third WR spot, where they'll be without Chris Henry for at least eight games.
New England at Tampa Bay - The first look at the Patriots' new additions (Randy Moss, Donte Stallworth, Adalius Thomas) will likely be a short one since all three are veterans and should adapt to the system rather quickly. The Buccaneers have to figure out their QB situation, making the preseason very important to Chris Simms and Jeff Garcia.
Jacksonville at Miami - The Jaguars need Byron Leftwich to start strong and stay healthy for once to be truly successful. Miami gets a look at new QB Trent Green, rookie wideout Ted Ginn Jr. and of course their new head coach Cam Cameron, who may have trouble adapting his old San Diego offense to what he has to work with in Miami.
Arizona at Oakland - Both teams have a new coach this year, with the Cardinals turning to Ken Whisenhunt and the Raiders giving Lane Kiffin a try. All eyes will be on newly-signed Daunte Culpepper as rookie QB JaMarcus Russell continues to hold out.
Seattle at San Diego - Not a lot of changes for either team, but new Chargers' coach Norv Turner should have fun with all the toys at his disposal in San Diego.
Philadelphia at Baltimore - Will Donovan McNabb be ready for this game? The Eagles' season could rely on McNabb returning at 100% from a knee injury, and if he plays in this game it will be a big step in his recovery.
The Casual Sport BettorMost casual bettors don’t make a profit from their football betting hobby. This includes those who are relatively sharp as well as those who couldn’t pick a winner if their lives depended on it. That’s not a horrible thing either – if every person won, online sports books would be going belly up far more often than they do, and we would run out of places to play. Many people that partake in sports gambling really don’t care very much about earning a long term profit. They like to have some action on games as a form of recreation or excitement, not as an investment decision. Many of these people are far more interested in TV games than anything else, and they tend to bet more on highly publicized games, like Monday Night Football, the Super Bowl or the NCAA Tournament.
Much of the industry jargon considers money management as important as picking winners, if not more so. And it certainly is. But throwing around buzzwords like ‘money management’ and describing esoteric concepts like ‘isolate a percentage of bankroll’ and ‘positive expectation bets’ really doesn’t help the fortunes of most recreational bettors. If you bet on sports for entertainment only, then this article will be of little help or interest to you. However, if you wish to be a successful sports bettor, even as an amateur, and earn a profit from your betting over an extended period of time, here are some tips that should help you in that quest.
Five Tips for Sports HandicappingDon’t bet into bad numbers. Professional handicappers recognize the value of the half point. On the average college basketball Saturday, for example, there are at least a half dozen games that are won or lost against the spread by a point or less. If he bet on the game, the pro bettor will be on the right side of just about every one of those decisions. He’ll either get the push when others lost, or he’ll get the win when others pushed. The pro will take the extra time to shop around for the best number at multiple online sports books. He’ll have accounts that are funded in enough places to ensure that when he finds the line that he is looking for, he’ll be able to place the bet. And he’ll have an idea of which direction the line is likely to move, enabling him to bet early or late, depending on which time offers an advantageous number. The pro wins by a half point far more often than he loses by the hook. Making a modest 20 bets a week (1000 a year, a number that is on the low side for most professionals), it is not unusual to gain an extra 10 or 15 wins a year and another 10 or 15 pushes just by betting into good numbers. Assuming the bettor is betting a modest 2% of his bankroll on any given play, those 20 or 30 favorable decisions translates into a 40-60% swing in his return on his sports gambling investment. That’s not chump change, folks, it’s hard earned profit gained one half point at a time!
Make more straight bets and less parlays. Professionals make the vast majority of their bets as straight bets, not as parlays. For amateurs, the number is closer to 50:50, and there are many, many amateurs who rarely straight bet at all. But the straight bet is the pro’s bread and butter. Professionals are satisfied with the return on investment from a 3-2 day, or a 12-8 week. They are in it for the long haul, not always looking for the quick score that parlays provide. Amateurs are often lured by the big paydays that winning parlays provide, conveniently forgetting that a season largely consisting of steady 2-1 type days will be even more profitable than the big hits that parlays provide even in a good overall season. Straight bettors never curse the 4-1 days – when they pick more winners than losers – because they make a profit every time, while parlay bettors don’t. There’s a reason that every sportsbook in Las Vegas has their parlay cards prominently displayed – frankly, parlays pay the bills at most joints in Vegas. That’s not to say pro bettors never go for the longshot score, but when they do, they do it for a considerably lesser percentage of their bankroll, and they do it in conjunction with their straight bets, not in lieu of them.
Concentrate more on box scores and less on final scores. It’s easy to look at the final score of a game and make all kinds of false assumptions. This team got killed, that team gave ‘em all they could handle. But without reading game recaps and looking at box scores, you really have no idea of what took place, and what kind of current form the teams you are examining are in. It’s key to handicap games again, after the games are over. What happened that you expected to happen, and what was a surprise? Which things are likely to repeat themselves, and which are something of an anomaly? Here’s an example. The Pistons play the Bulls at home, as nine point favorites, but win by only seven, 97-90. But looking at the box score, it’s clear that Detroit dominated for most of the game. The Pistons won the rebounding battle and forced the Bulls into turnovers. They led by double digits at halftime and after three quarters. But the Bulls hit some late shots in garbage time and made the final score closer than the game was. On that same night, the Raptors are nine point favorites to the Nuggets, and win by that same 97-90 margin. But the box score here indicates a whole different story. The Raptors trailed throughout this game, but got hot in the 4th quarter to steal the win. Toronto made an uncharacteristic 27-30 from the free throw line, and hit ten three pointers, while Denver shot just 4-19 in the 4th quarter. By examining the box scores you can recognize that the Pistons are in better form than the Raptors and/or the Nuggets are in better form than the Bulls, making your sports gambling involving those teams more likely to be successful, even though the final scores of the two games were exactly the same.
Take advantage of value. Oddsmakers have a pretty good idea of which way the money is going to flow once they hang their opening numbers. And amateur bettors are a big part of this, falling in love with ‘public’ teams, betting them over and over again. In college sports, these ‘public’ teams are usually in the Top 25, from a major conference – well known schools. In the pro sports, they are the hottest teams, teams at the top of their respective divisions or conferences. The professional bettor will recognize this public bias, notice that the lines are inflated for many of the best teams in the country, and either bet against many of the good teams or pass on their games entirely. Instead, the pro’s concentrate much more on backing the ‘good but not great’ type of squads, teams that have fallen underneath the public’s collective radar, as well as fading some of the mediocre type squads that are in poor current form. The pros bet against Top 25 clubs far more often than they back ‘em – that’s where the value is, catching six points with an underdog that should only be getting four. It’s equally important to recognize when the oddsmakers have priced you out of a play.
Be smart when betting your streaks. It’s one of the most common mistakes that amateurs make, and it’s quite possibly the most costly. They press their losses, raising the stakes to get back to even off a losing week/streak. Pro bettors know that there will be times when you lose more than you win. Hopefully, those times are few and far between, but inevitably, they will happen to everybody. Rather than raising the stakes during those times when you are having a bad run, the pro lowers his stakes, conserving bankroll while waiting for things to turn around. There’s no ‘double or nothing’ attitude on Monday Night Football games for the pro. Conversely, the pro knows that winning streaks are the time to press your bets, not the time to pull back with a conservative approach to sports gambling. When a ‘capper is in good form and good rhythm, with his read on the games in solid form and the bounces generally falling in his direction, he’s not afraid to raise his stakes a bit, making larger plays when the percentages are in his favor. It sounds so basic – don’t chase losses, ride your winning streaks. But few amateur bettors are able to maintain an even keel during periods of higher rates than the norm of both successes and of failures.So when you think of laying your next mortgage payment on the line for a big win or you look for 5 games on a college football betting Saturday, keep in mind what the pro cappers do to make this their living. The Super Bowl is the most bet on event in the world, but it is only one event. Monday Night football is one game, once a week. To expect to hit the big one on the "big" events throws out the tips we outlined for you above. Making money takes a lot of work, and sports gambling is no exception. If you do not have the time to do it yourself, enlist the help of Mark "the Shark" Miller to keep you on the winning track.
St. Louis at Minnesota - Adrian Peterson's road to the Vikings' starting running back job begins here. He could get a real boost up the depth chart if he performs well in this game and if Chester Taylor's arm injury is worse than suspected.
Atlanta at NY Jets - The Falcons will need to use the preseason to get backup QB Joey Harrington up to speed on the offense, since it looks like Michael Vick's days in Atlanta could be numbered. This will also be Bobby Petrino's first game as Falcons coach.
Kansas City at Cleveland - The battle for the starting QB job in Kansas City begins between Damon Huard and Brodie Croyle. This could also be the first time we see Brady Quinn take the field in a Browns' uniform, if he quits bickering over his contract and gets into camp.
Buffalo at New Orleans - Rookie running back Marshawn Lynch makes his first play for the starting job in Buffalo, while WR Robert Meachem will get another crack at showing why he should be starting in New Orleans.
Chicago at Houston - The Bears start what they hope is another Super Bowl run, while Houston begins their first season without QB David Carr now that Matt Schaub's in town.
Green Bay at Pittsburgh - The Packers need to find a starting running back to take some of the pressure off Brett Favre, while Pittsburgh will be on six days rest after playing in the Hall of Fame game this Sunday night.
Carolina at NY Giants - Can Dwayne Jarrett fill Keyshawn Johnson's old shoes as the No. 2 target in Carolina? An even bigger question is: Will Brandon Jacobs be an adequate replacement for Tiki Barber in New York?
Washington at Tennessee - The Redskins already lost tackle Chris Samuels last week so don't be surprised if Joe Gibbs restricts the participation of his regulars in this game. The Titans have to get their defense sorted out during the preseason and try to keep the Madden Curse from striking down Vince Young.
Denver at San Francisco - Jay Cutler starts his first full season as the starter in Denver and there could be a battle for the Broncos' second receiver spot throughout the preseason. The 49ers are rising, but Frank Gore could end up missing the entire preseason after suffering a hand injury.
http://www.enterbet.com
NFL Football Betting, NFL Football, Football NFL Odds, Football, Betting Lines. Sports betting, Sports betting odds and football betting spreads. NFL and College Football betting, Latest Football Odds - Compare Football betting odds for all live Football events from the top online, ENTERBET.COM.
NCAA football 2007 Season Sports Betting Guide. NFL Football Betting. Season Sports Betting Guide.Football betting, odds comparison, college football tips and football betting strategy. lines for betting on the NFL, College, CFL, Arena Football.
Sport betting, football betting, football betting tips from our online tipster, National Football League and college footbal NFC East and NFC North for 2007 (National Football League).
Labels: bet on nfl, football betting, football gambling, nfl betting, sports betting