football betting tip
Straight football bets (side): When betting on KANSAS CITY, you must win by at least 7 points to win your bet. When betting on DENVER you cannot lose by more than 6 points to win the bet. If the line was exactly -6, and Kansas City wins by exactly 6 points, then the bet is a "push", and stake or money is returned to your account. (total bets): When betting on the total score of a game, you must take the OVER or the UNDER. Regardless of the outcome, the combined score of the two teams will determine if you win or lose your bet. Remember, overtime will always count for the 2 nd half and full game wagers. If you bet Denver to go OVER 40, and the final score is 28-12, your bet is a “push”, and the money will be returned to your account.
Money Line betsWhen betting on the money line, you must win the game straight up in order to win your bet. Betting on KANSAS CITY -290 means you must risk $290 to win $100. It does not matter by how many points KC wins, just that they win. Betting on DENVER +240, you stake $100 to win $240. Again, in this case, Denver just needs to win straight up.
Take weather into account. A cold, windy day might have an adverse affect on teams coming to Detroit if they are playing baseball, but if you try to give the Lions an advantage in an NFL game the same day, for the same reason, you are going to look very silly when someone shows you their covered stadium. Research recent matchups between the teams you are betting on. The team you like may have won six games in a row but historically bomb badly against the team you were thinking should lose because of that win streak. Some teams just match up well against others, regardless of other factors. Know what live and betting stats are relevant to this game. Does it matter that your pitcher has a stellar record against left-handed batters if the team he is facing has very few of those? Especially in prop bets, know the opposition as well as or better than the team you are wagering on. You don’t want to bet that Peyton Manning throws for 300 yards against the league’s strongest pass defense when you can also look and see that the running defense is not so hot and Manning has running backs in the backfield to pound the ball downfield on the ground. Look at the intangibles like injuries, suspensions, team chemistry, revenge factors and rivalries that can’t be expressed in terms of numbers. Timing is the key to beating the numbers. Make sure to keep an eye on lines as they often change as the game gets closer. Getting your wager in before your line goes down, or waiting until it goes higher in your favor is very often the difference between a win and a loss. Always include special teams, coaching and defensive analysis in your handicapping strategy. Ever been burned by a last-second, otherwise meaningless run back for a touchdown or a coach who does not watch the game clock, letting the other team get the ball back with time to score? The ability to secure good field position, or prevent it, is a key factor to consider. Money Management: Unless you are Charles Barkley, you can’t afford to throw your whole bankroll on one game and, if you lose, just grab another roll. You need to set aside an amount that is no more than what you can afford to LOSE over the season. You need to be stingy! Sometimes it is hard to keep your bet amounts nearly the same, using only a small percentage of your bankroll - under 5% - for each wager. In fact, sticking to your program and not chasing losses is probably the hardest thing about wagering successfully over a period of time. Every once in a while, sure, go ahead and double your bet size. But make sure you do it only on very strong plays and not on what you WANT to be a strong play because you just lost a few. Sure things and locks do not exist in the real world.
Discipline: Discipline is the foundation you must have in order to properly manage your money and wager knowledgeably. If you lose your discipline, you will lose your bankroll. Period. If you have a good winning streak, say 8 wins and 2 losses, you are now up 6 units. Then you drop 3 in a row. At this point, you are still up 3 units. It is now easy to lose focus, forgetting your previous wins and the long haul and to double up on a couple bets to try to recoup the 3 losses. Now, if you lose those two doubled up bets, instead of still being up one unit overall, you are down one unit. It is only natural to want to chase the losses, but remaining true to your plan will pay off and make sense at the end of the season. To test this, try writing down the times you wanted to chase losses through a season, without actually chasing, and see what your bankroll would have been if you had chased instead of exercising discipline. Your profits will speak volumes.
NFL Football Betting Tips:
The most popular sports betting time of the year is football season. Bettors wait with high anticipation for both the NFL and college football games to begin. What do you need to do as a sports betting enthusiast to get ready for the season? Preparation is of paramount importance. Let's take a look at a few football betting tips that should help you this season:
1. Go Against the Public. Always look to go against the popular sports betting plays. Going against the public is always a wise decision and it can make your sportsbook experience much more profitable.
2. Be aggressive if you have an edge. Don't be afraid to take advantage of early season lines. Some handicappers and sports bettors stress patience and take a wait-and-see attitude. The early season can be your best time in football. Take advantage of those opportunities when they present themselves.
3. Don't rely too much upon last season's data. It is a new year and different things will happen in sports. Early in the season, power ratings are not very helpful. Wait a few weeks before making them a big part of your handicapping. In the early part of the season, especially in college football, pay more attention to the returning starters, the latest information, and look for bad lines.
4. Look in advance for teams to go with or against this season. Look for those teams that could be good go against teams this sports betting season. Which teams are overpriced and might be heavily publicized by the media? Going against those teams will automatically give us extra value in the line because of their large following.
5. Look for the best sportsbook lines. Anytime you can get a half point or more in your favor it is a big deal. Over the course of the season it can add anywhere from 4-6 percent to your bankroll. If everything else was even and you otherwise won 50% of the time, this will be the difference between shrinking and growing your bankroll.
6. Develop your own strategy. Find your strengths. If you are a great Big 12 handicapper, focus more on those games. If you struggle in the colleges but do well in the NFL, limit your college plays. The main thing here is to play to your strengths. We all do some things better than others. Find your strengths and use them.
When using stats to inform your NFL betting decisions, look at these things not included in the final, official stats:
A) Penalties - If one team consistently draws 2 pass-interference calls against the other team, these are usually big plays that do not show up in official stats.
B) Non-Plays included in averages – Each time a QB kneels down, the team is charged with -1 or -2 rushing yards. If they do this a few times in a game, their rushing average will be deceptively low. The same occurs with spiking the ball to stop the clock inside 2 minutes left in each half. Each counts as an incomplete pass in the record books.
C) Situational Stats – These stats show how good a team or player does in certain situations. For example, a running back only comes in on third and short situations. He rushes 6 times for 8 yards but gave the team a first down 5 times. His individual stats would not show a great average but his effect on his team’s performance is immense. The fact that a team has this weapon available for use is something to consider, especially if they are playing against a team who does not do so well against the run.
D) Turnover differential is the biggest indicator of game winners when all else seems even. More often than not, the team that turns the ball over less wins the game and covers the spread.
Pointspread Betting:
Pointspreads are NOT indicators of how much a book maker feels one team will win or lose by. Point spreads indicate the number a book maker feels is necessary to divide public money on the game evenly.
Point spreads are often inflated for very popular teams and for teams that have been playing very good as of late, but against inferior teams.
Lines move to balance the action coming in on a game. Take advantage of those moves by following these simple rules of thumb:
If you like the favorite and the money line is rising, the spread might get bigger. Wait it out and you might get a better number. If you like the underdog and the money line is rising, get your bet in early to get the biggest number for your team. If the line does change, your team will lose points. If you like the favorite and the money line is getting cheaper, take the line as it looks like the spread will be falling. If you like the underdog and the money line is getting cheaper, wait to place your bet. If the spread changes, it will be in your favor.
Money Line Betting:
You may take advantage of money lines by taking a couple simple things into consideration when placing your bet:
Money lines either express the wager amount necessary to win $100 or the amount won by wagering $100, depending on whether or not the line is expressed as a negative or a positive, respectfully. When the line is -110 for both teams, it is called a standard line, meaning that there is no favorite in the game. As the line moves, or breaks, from -110, one team’s line will become more expensive and the other will become cheaper. This is when you make your move! If you like a team to win and you see their lines starting to get more expensive, place your bet. If your team wins, you will have paid less to win more. If the money line is becoming cheaper \
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Frequently Asked football Betting Questions
How to bet on football - Football betting is done with a point spread. If your gambling on the favorite you will be "laying points." If your betting on the underdog you'll be "taking points." Laying points means you start out the game minus the spread you've taken. Taking points means you start out the game ahead by the amount of points you've gotten on your underdog play.
What is a point spread bet?
This is the most common type of wager and is typically referred to as a straight bet. That means you win what you bet minus the standard 10% vig. Unless a bookmaker states otherwise, this type of bet carries odds of 11:10, i.e., you bet $11 in order to win $10. Pointspread bets are wagers in which you either give or take points on the team you want to wager on. These points are then added to or subtracted from your team's final score. That modified score is then compared to the other team's true score to see who wins.
Example: New England Patriots +3.5 @ New York Giants -3.5
If you take the New England Patriots you are starting the game with a 3.5 point lead. This means that the Patriots can win the game straight up or lose by as many as 3 points in order to cover the spread making your ticket a winning bet.
If you take the New York Giants (the favorite) and lay the -3.5 points, you start out the game down by 3.5 points which means the New York Giants have to win by four points in order to cover the spread andwin your bet for you.
What are over/under bets?
Like the point spread bet, these types of wagers will more than likely carry 11:10 odds. Unlike the pointspread bet, this is a wager on what the combined scores of both teams will be. The oddsmaker will set a number based on a number of factors (weather, field conditions, injuries, participants, etx. You then wager whether you think the total score will be over or under the oddsmaker's number. For example, a basketball game carries an over/under line of 177. You can then wager if the score between the two teams will go over that number, sometimes called betting on the ball, or if it will be below that number, often referred to as betting on the clock.
What is a Prop Bet?
First off, this is short for proposition bet. This is a bet offered by a sportsbook with odds and conditions attached to it by the oddsmaker. Most Prop Bets are for non-traditional things such as which player will score first, which team will have the most fumbles, who will have more penalties, etc. The majority of prop bets are offered at the standard 11:10 odds, though some of the more exotic ones will carry different spreads depending on a variety of circumstances.
What is a teaser?
A teaser bet allows you to move a pointspread by a pre-determined amount. The one condition is you must pay for it. The standard condition is you must bet on at least two teams, as if you were betting a parlay, and win both.
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