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Monday Night FootballWeek Three
Tennessee at New Orleans
IMPORTANT: Please note that all the data and projections below are based on just the two games from the 2007 season so far. They are not adjusted for player and coaching changes that in some cases have dramatically altered a team's outlook for the 2007 season. As such these statistics should be viewed with caution and are unlikely to be representative of how a team will perform this week.
For a legend of our terminology, and an explanation of how we create the following data, please see The case for better numbers.
Drive Chart Stats
OFFENSE Play Dyds TOP TD FG Punt T/O Pts TEN 5.1 37 3:34 16% 22% 33% 16% 22.0 NO 3.8 25 3:00 9% 4% 42% 23% 9.7 DEFENSE Play Dyds TOP TD FG Punt T/O Pts TEN 5.5 35 2:46 15% 21% 42% 10% 20.8 NO 7.0 35 2:29 38% 14% 42% 4% 37.1

Projected Scores (Drive Charts)Team DC* DCTO* TennesseeNew Orleans 36 7 42 26

Play By Play Stats
Tennessee RushPSR RushBig RushYds RushEFR PassPSR PassBig PassYds PassEFR TEN - Offense 60% 14% 5.1 113 41% 11% 5.4 80 NO - Defense +8% +0% +.1 +6 -2% +15% +5.4 +62 TEN - Projection 68% 14% 5.2 119 39% 26% 10.8 142 New Orleans RushPSR RushBig RushYds RushEFR PassPSR PassBig PassYds PassEFR NO - Offense 47% 10% 3.9 78 48% 3% 4.5 72 TEN - Defense +0% -2% -.3 -4 +2% +4% +.3 +10 NO - Projection 47% 8% 3.6 74 50% 7% 4.8 82

Projected Score (Play by Play)Team SCORE TennesseeNew Orleans 36 13
Ultimate Prediction Machine
Matchup Line Pick Cover % Tennessee at New Orleans -4.5 Tennessee 90 %
Turnovers
Away Line Home NetINT NetFUM NetT/O INTPick FUMPick T/OPick Tennessee -4.5 New Orleans 3 -1 2 NO - NO
Team Def. Int Def. Fum Off. Int Off. Fum Net T/O Tennessee 1 1 1 3 -2 New Orleans 0 1 3 2 -4

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Tennessee at New Orleans (-4.5) Summary:Component Outlook Drive ChartsDC/TOPlay-By-PlayU.P.M.Turnovers Tennessee 36-7Tennessee 42-26Tennessee 36-13Tennessee 90 %New Orleans

Analysis: It's still early in the season with only two games played, but the stats so far look much better for the Titans who continue to scrap their way to wins and close defeats. Last year was a charmed season for New Orleans but maybe the lucky touch has worn off (although this would surely be the week to turn it round if not so). One Trend backs the Titans so we'll side with the dog here.
Favor: TENNESSEE +4.5
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