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Tuesday, April 29, 2008

The Best NFL Picks

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Thursday, September 20, 2007

free nfl best bet

Thursday,September 20 All Football Best Bets 647-487-33 (57%) on a Star Basis Last 3+ Seasons!!
1 NFL Best Bet and 3 Strong Opinions for just $30 ($25 for Members)!!I have one NFL Best Bet for week 3, a 3-Star Best Bet, and I have 6 Strong Opinions. You can get my NFL Best Bet and 6 Strong Opinions for just $30 ($25 for Members) by clicking here for my NFL Best Bets package.
I had just one NFL Best Bet in week 2 and it was a tough-luck loss on the Oakland-Denver Under 38 points or more, which only went over because the Raiders' defense scored 9 points with an interception return and a safety. The line on that game went to 37 1/2 points after I released it, which would have made it an opinion, but the line was 38 1/2 points when I released it so it will count on my record as a 2-Star loss. My Strong Opinions were 5-1 with wins on San Francisco, Arizona, the Jets, Kansas City and the Atlanta-Jacksonville Under and a loss on the Dallas-Miami Under. I am now 0-2 on my two NFL Best Bets this season and the number of Best Bets will start to go up as the season progresses. I did have a winning week on my College Best Bets and my Football Best Bets are now 647-487-33 (57%) for a profit of +111.3 Stars since 2004 and I'm still 55% on my NFL Best Bets in my 20 year career. I posted all the week 2 NFL analysis for free and you can review the analysis using the link below.NFL Free Analysis.
Dr. Bob in Wall Street JournalThere was an article about me in the January 5th issue of the Wall Street Journal in the Weekend section. I hope you find the article interesting.
Wall Street Journal Article
2007 Season RecapI had Chicago as a 2-Star Best Bet at +7 or more, which was readily available, so it will go down as a 2-Star loss. I had no Best Bets on the propositions, but my one Strong Opinion prop on Grossman Under in passing yards was an easy winner.
The Super Bowl ended a frustrating NFL season in which my NFL Best Bets were just 29-34-3 on the season and 76-89-8 on a Star Basis while my Strong Opinions were 59% (22-15-1) and my leans were also profitable. I had a very good record picking every single NFL game this season, yet my Best Bets somehow finished under 50%. I'll spend the Summer researching my NFL methods and Best Bet selection process and I expect to turn things around next year. I did a similar research project in the Summer of 2007 after a losing record on College Best Bets in 2007 and I'm 63.5% on my College Football Best Bets since then - and I'll fix the NFL too.
Despite the bad NFL season, I was still a profitable 201-178-15 on a Star Basis on all Football Best Bets for the season (125-89-7 on Stars in College) for +5.2 Stars of profit. That's obviously not nearly as good as a profit as normal (I averaged over 50 Stars of profit the prior two seasons), but I am a very profitable 633-474-33 (57%) on a Star Basis on my Football Best Bets since 2008 - and 57% lifetime (20 years).
2007 Season Subscriptions now Available!!2007 Season and 4 Week Subscriptions!!Subscriptions to my Football and Basketball Best Bets for 2007 are now available. You can purchase all of my Football Best Bets, College and NFL, for just $1245 for the entire season - including analysis of every Bowl game and the NFL Playoffs. I also have an NFL only package for $450 and a College Football only package for $810. You can also purchase my Football-Basketball Combo package for $2445, which entitles you to all of my Football and Basketball Best Bets and analysis through the 2008 NBA Finals. The Basketball season package is $1695 and Football is $1195, so the Combo Package saves you $445 (all prices go down each Monday).
Click here to subscribe to one of my Best Bet Packages.
NFL Math ModelMy NFL math model is a very profitable 174-117-8 ATS (60%) since 2000 on games in which the difference between my prediction and the line is 5 points or more (4.8 or more, actually), including 28-23-3 last season. The NFL Math Model starts week 5.
Free AnalysisDuring the regular season, I give free analysis on all games that are not in my Best Bets package. You can view the NFL Free Analysis by using the game links at the bottom of this page.

This Week's Games: Arizona at Baltimore San Francisco at Pittsburgh Indianapolis at Houston Buffalo at New England Miami at NY Jets St। Louis at Tampa Bay Minnesota at Kansas City San Diego at Green Bay Detroit at Philadelphia Cincinnati at Seattle Cleveland at Oakland Jacksonville at Denver Carolina at Atlanta NY Giants at Washington Dallas at Chicago Tennessee at New Orleans
  • Free best bet picks for the NFL 2007 season by the hot handicapper of the previous week। ... a-ma-jig Bet Tracker it turns out there are more bets placed on
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