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NFL Best Bet Picks- Updated every Wednesday by 3pm Pacific Time -If you are not seeing the current week, your browser is loading a cached page. Each week the person in charge of a subscriber feature can submit a 'best bet' selection. These have proved to be very potent in some cases since the introduction of this concept five years ago, and we will present a best bet freebie on this page each week.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------Week Eight
Play By Play Stats
Houston RushPSR RushBig RushYds RushEFR PassPSR PassBig PassYds PassEFR HOU - Offense 39% 5% 3.0 59 53% 8% 6.9 111 SD - Defense +2% -2% -.4 -6 +1% +1% +.4 +10 HOU - Projection 41% 3% 2.6 53 54% 9% 7.3 121 San Diego RushPSR RushBig RushYds RushEFR PassPSR PassBig PassYds PassEFR SD - Offense 41% 12% 4.2 82 49% 9% 6.7 104 HOU - Defense -1% -2% +.5 -2 +2% +1% +.2 +6 SD - Projection 40% 10% 4.7 80 51% 10% 6.9 110

Projected Score (Play by Play)Team SCORE HoustonSan Diego 22 23



Analysis: The play by play stats are used to produce a projected score for the upcoming games. A key has been to find an underdog predicted to cover the spread since you would expect favorites to in general have 'better stats' on the season. Favor: Houston +9.5* (off the board most places currently)

Wondering what the hype is all about? Check out:What the press says about TwoMinuteWarningComparing NFL Handicapping Services
Best Bet Performance RecordsThe "Best Bet" column was introduced for the 2002 coverage, allowing feature editors to highlight one play as the best option of the week (editors can elect not to provide a best bet if none seem worthy of the honor). Feature 2002-2006 5-Yr W% Inside the 20 45-28 62% Trends 52-36 59% DC/TO 44-33 57% Injury Report 45-34 57% Full Story 43-33 57% Turnovers 39-29 57% Drive Charts 42-36 54% CSM 23-20 53% Bet Tracker 16-14 53% Regressor 23-21 52% Last 5 UPM 30-32 48%
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2007 Season Archive Week One: CSMWeek Two: TrendsWeek Three: Bet TrackerWeek Four: UPMWeek Five: DC/TOWeek Six: Contrarian ConsensusWeek Seven: Inside the 20
Samples from past seasons can be seen via clicking on the links below:
2006 Season Archive Week One: AnglesWeek Two: TrendsWeek Three: Tim's SmorgasboardWeek Four: Bet TrackerWeek Five: Inside the 20Week Six: TurnoversWeek Seven: Falcon PP'sWeek Eight: Last 5 UPMWeek Nine: Drive StatsWeek Ten: DC/TOWeek Eleven: CSMWeek Twelve: Play-by-PlayWeek Thirteen: UPMWeek Fourteen: Coach StatsWeek Fifteen: RegressorWeek Sixteen: Game PagesWeek Seventeen: TMW PP's
2005 Season Archive Week One: CSMWeek Two: AnglesWeek Three: Week That WasWeek Four: Stats ForceWeek Five: DC/TOWeek Six: Inside the 20Week Seven: Play by PlayWeek Eight: UPMWeek Nine: TrendsWeek Ten: TurnoversWeek Eleven: Last 5 Weeks UPMWeek Twelve: Drive ChartsWeek Thirteen: Bet TrackerWeek Fourteen: Money-LineWeek Fifteen: Injury ReportWeek Sixteen: Red Zone TotalsWeek Seventeen: Regressor
2004 Season Archive Week One: TrendsWeek Two: Week That WasWeek Three: AnglesWeek Four: Drive Chart DogsWeek Five: Inside the 20Week Six: Square MoneyWeek Seven: DC/TOWeek Eight: Turnover DifferenceWeek Nine: CSMWeek Ten: Stats ForceWeek Eleven: UPMWeek Twelve: O/U RegressorWeek Thirteen: RegressorWeek Fourteen: Injury ReportWeek Fifteen: Play-By-Play RatingsWeek Sixteen: Player/Team ConnectionWeek Seventeen: Last 5 UPM
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