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Wednesday, June 11, 2008

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This article is too short, too vague, and doesn't include citations. If it's not expanded and made encyclopedic, it should probably just be deleted. I don't have time to do it myself right now, but maybe someone else wants to step up and expand and improve the article? Rray 14:35, 4 September 2007 (UTC)
I've done some copyediting, but I'm still unsure if the subject of this article is notable enough to warrant an article of its own. Rray 04:31, 13 October 2007 (UTC)
[edit] External LinksRray, regarding the Betting Strategy page. I am interested to know why you thought a link to 81 articles on Betting Strategy not available on Wikipedia, written by a professional gambler, is Spam. As you say yourself the page is weak, therefore adding relevant external links is surely an improvement. In its place you have provided a link to an online gambling affiliate website, who's sponsor has recenty had their domain confiscated by Judges in Nevada, giving information that already exists elsewhere on Wikipedia. Interested to know your logic? Crofton park 16:14, 4 September 2007 (UTC)
The number of articles isn't relevant. There could be 810 articles listed on that page, but that wouldn't suddenly make it an appropriate external link. It looks like the articles were written by someone named "Hobbes". That's presumably a pen name, but information written by someone who's willing to use his real name and is an actual notable expert in the field is going to be a more appropriate link than a collection of articles by an anonymous "professional gambler". You don't strengthen a weak page by adding external links; you strengthen it by improving the article. Shackleford's site is not an affiliate website, even though he does accept paid advertising. But it wouldn't matter if it were an affiliate website. What matters is the quality and relevance of the content there. Bodog's recent domain and/or problems have nothing to do with whether or not this essay is an appropriate link for the article either. My logic is simple. The Shackleford article provides better and more pertinent information to the article topic than the list of articles on the Pinnacle Sports site. Looking over your previous contributions to the Wikipedia, it seems that your main concern is including links to content on one particular website (the Pinnacle Sports site). That's usually a sign that there is a conflict of interest, and that your purpose here is to promote your website rather than to contribute to the project. I'd suggest working on adding and improving content here instead of just dropping links. Rray 16:25, 4 September 2007 (UTC)
Rray, thanks for the response, you raise some interesting though contradictory points.
If it doesn't matter that Shackleford's website is an affiliate, only the quality and pertinence of information, why do make the point about my previous contributions? Surely you should simply apply those same criteria to my posts. You talk about a conflict of interest from my contributions but see no conflict of interest in adding links from a site talking about Betting Systems sponsored by a bookmaker. If you don't improve an article by adding External Links, then they serve no purpose. I take your point about anonymous articles, unfortunately gamblers like to retain their privacy I accept the invitation to improve the article and will try to do so when I can, in an unbiased manner. —Preceding unsigned comment added by Crofton park (talk • contribs) 16:48, 4 September 2007 (UTC) I addressed the quality and pertinence of the link you added already. I have no conflict of interest related to the Wizard of Odds website. I'm not associated with the site in any way. The external link I added improved the article. The external link you added did not. Gamblers are welcome to their privacy, but they don't qualify for inclusion in an encyclopedia if you can't verify notability and verifiability. You would be well served by reviewing some of the guidelines for editing here. It's fun to edit here, and you might like it, but it helps to know how the community works. One of the 1st things to learn is that this isn't really a place to promote your website. Rray 18:41, 4 September 2007 (UTC) Rray, thanks for your feedback, I have taken all your points on board. Wikipedia is an excellent resource, and hopefully I can contribute in the future, in line with the guidelines you mention.Crofton park 09:46, 5 September 2007 (UTC)
Retrieved from "http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Talk:Betting_strategy"An Asian Handicap (named so simply because of its Eastern origins) is a gambling term used to describe spread betting in soccer that has gained popularity over the years.
The Asian handicap system eliminates any chance for loss due to a tie, which increases the gamblers' chances of success (or loss).
From a mathematical point of view, the gamblers' chances of success is same as in fixed odds betting. Bookmakers adjust Asian handicap odds (decrease a favorite team's odd and increase the opposite odd) more frequently than fixed odds, thereby charging the gamblers more Vigorish for the more probable outcome and reaching the break-even situation more quickly.
When break-even situation is reached, a gambler always has equal 50-50 chances of winning like playing a pure game of luck. As a result, on the long run he/she will lose out by paying commissions to bookmakers. A professional Asian handicap gambler must therefore place his/her bets early before the advantages are evened out by adjustment of odds, but by doing so sometimes the gambler inevitably gains and analyzes less information of the match.
Football (called soccer in the US and Canada) is one of the few sports in the world where a tie is a fairly common outcome. With traditional fixed odds, ties are treated as an additional outcome to the game. In other words, bettors lose when they place a wager on either team to win and the game ties. With Asian Handicaps, however, the chance for a tie is eliminated by use of a handicap that forces a winner. This creates a situation where each team has a 50-50 chance of winning; similar to the odds for a basketball or baseball game where a tie is impossible.
This system works in a straight-forward manner. The bookmakers's goal is to create a handicap or "line" that will make the chance of either team winning (considering the handicap) as close to 50% as possible. Since the odds are as close to 50% as possible, bookmakers offer payouts close to even money, or 1.90 to 2.00. Asian Handicaps start at a quarter goal and can go as high as 2.5 or 3 goals in matches with a huge disparity in ability. What makes Asian Handicaps most interesting is the use of quarter goals to get the "line" as close as possible. Taken in conjunction with the posted total for the game, the handicap essentially predicts the game's final score. Take a look at this example

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