College football gambling

Each week the computer picks the winner of every game involving a Division 1-A team. The "Pick" is determined by subtracting the difference between each teams' current Congrove Computer Power Rating, and adding 3 points to any team playing on its home field. The 3-point advantage may also be added to a team playing on a neutral field that has a decided geographical advantage over its opponent, or often hosts games in that venue (i.e, Alabama in Birmingham, Arkansas in Little Rock, etc.).
The computer's picks are presented in a fashion that permits you to print the page and track the scores, if you desire, with Vegas spreads and computer picks. The home team is in CAPS. The team favored by the oddsmakers is on the left.
After the games are played, the scores are entered so that the picks page becomes a scoreboard page. When the picks for the next week are uploaded, the previous picks and scores are archived and linked from the picks page.
The computer wins Straight Up when it simply picks the winning team.
The computer wins ATS (Against The Spread) when it correctly "plays" the point spread determined by oddsmakers.
The computer establishes a point spread for games involving a team from a division lower than the football bowl subdivision (formerly 1-A) but, as oddsmakers do not widely handicap such games, they are not counted in the computer's ATS record. Therefore, the standings will reflect more games Straight Up than ATS.
The point spread is the number of points by which oddsmakers predict the favored team will win. If you pick the favorite to cover, the margin of victory must be greater than the point spread. If you pick the underdog, you win if the favored team fails to exceed the point spread or if the underdog wins or ties the game outright.
Thus, if the spread calls for Team "A" to win by 20 and the computer picks the same team to win by 21 points or more, it is "betting" on the favorite. So, if Team "A" wins the game by 21 or more points, the computer wins "ATS". If Team "A" wins by 20 points or fewer - or loses or ties the game outright - the computer loses ATS.
If the spread calls for Team "A" to win by 20 and the computer picks the same team to to win by 20 points or less, it is "betting" on the underdog. In this case, if Team "A" wins by 21 or more points, the computer loses "ATS". But, if Team "A" wins the game by 20 points or less - or loses or ties the game outright - the computer wins "ATS".
We do not recognize a "push" because a tied line between the computer and official oddsmakers is declared as a bet for the underdog.
The computer's won-loss record is determined by using the most-often quoted "line" from the multiple sources reported at VegasInsider.com at the time the computer "placed" its fictitious bets (usually on a Monday or Tuesday).
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WEEK 3 NCAA FOOTBALL PICKS

UCLA -13 ½ @ Utah
Bruins love to cover against bad teams, and love to flop against the good ones. That sort of consistency is about as unchangeable as the expression on Karl Dorell’s face. He may be a saint but he’s on my list of 5 people to never have dinner with. If you’re boring when talking about the sport you love. I imagine the rest of the conversation is like getting your toes chewed off by an irate meerkat.

Tennessee + 8 @ Florida
Tennessee needs a win over a quality opponent or Fulmer’s million dollar donation to the school will have bought him the right to resign rather than be being tarred, feathered, and possibly sodomized out of town. (don’t blame me I saw Deliverance again recently, so now I fear sodomy and banjos even more than terrorists).

Ohio State -4 @ Washington
Jim Tressel must be furious. How dare one of his cupcake non-conference teams have the gall not to suck. I have a feeling he will be writing a number of polite but angry letters to his AD. I still think the buckeyes get up for this game. Looking at the big-10(I refuse to capitalize the “B” until they’ve earned it) this year this could be the best opponent they see. The big-10 has become the girl who looks hot from far away but up close you realize God beat the shit out of her with the ugly stick then kicked her when she was down.

Arkansas @ Alabama -3
I wonder if McFadden ever ponders how with 85 scholarships they only got one good player. Fake an injury Darren it ain’t worth it.

Louisville -6 ½ @ Kentucky
If I can’t take their basketball team seriously anymore how the hell am I supposed to even consider it’s bastard son, the football team. Louisville wins the battle of “the state no one cares about.”

Boston College @ Georgia Tech -7
Okay I’m going to believe G-tech is for real. This inevitably will cost me money.

USC -10 @ Nebraska
I think the Trojies actually show up to play. If not I believe they should all have their paycheck docked. It’s the only way they’ll ever learn.





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